Welcome a chroeso

I'm a statistical modeller at Shell and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Lancaster.

At Lancaster, I'm working with Jonathan Tawn and Yanyun Wu on developments in extreme value analysis, with Emma Eastoe, Jonathan Tawn, and Stan Tendijck on multivariate time-series extremes, with Rob Lamb, Adam Sykulski, Jacob Elman and Jake Grainger on spectral descriptions of ocean wave phenomena, and with David Leslie and Daniel Dodd on optimal design for subsea pipeline spans.

I work in extreme value analysis for oceanographic and ocean engineering applications, Bayesian methods for monitoring of large systems in time and inversion methods in remote sensing. I'm interested in uncertainty quantification and multivariate methods generally, particularly in application to our physical environment.

Given the many forms of empirical inference used in data science, I'm also interested in establishing straightforward statistical procedures to provide a basic level of assurance and uncertainty quantification, for example in prediction.

contact details

I can be contacted by email at p.jonathan@lancaster.ac.uk .