Welcome a chroeso

I'm a statistical modeller at Shell and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Lancaster.

At Lancaster, I'm working with Jonathan Tawn and Yanyun Wu on developments in extreme value analysis, with Jonathan Tawn, Jenny Wadsworth and Rob Shooter on conditional spatial extremes, with Emma Eastoe, Jonathan Tawn, and Stan Tendijck on multivariate time-series extremes, and with Rob Lamb, Adam Sykulski and Jake Granger on spectral descriptions of ocean wave phenomena.

I work in extreme value analysis for oceanographic and ocean engineering applications, Bayesian methods for monitoring of large systems in time and inversion methods in remote sensing. I'm interested in uncertainty quantification and multivariate methods generally, particularly in application to our physical environment.

Given the many forms of empirical inference used in data science, I'm also trying to promote simple statistical procedures to provide a basic level of assurance and uncertainty quantification, for example in prediction.

contact details

I can be contacted by email at p.jonathan@lancaster.ac.uk .